Predictive Risk Intelligence

Rayterton Early Warning System (EWS)

A predictive EWS that continuously monitors customer behaviour, portfolio health, collateral and channel signals to surface risk weeks ahead of Days Past Due. Designed to convert signals into prioritized actions, operational workflows, and measurable reductions in loss and false alerts.

Detect risk 30+ days earlier with behavioural and transactional signals
Reduce false alerts with weighted scoring and model explainability
Automate remediation: tasks, escalations, and exposure controls
Integrates with LMS, collections, payment rails, insurer and GPS feeds
Request Rayterton EWS Demo View Standard Features
Fully configurable to match your rules, thresholds, and operational playbooks
Designed for early detection and operational response
Predictive Risk
Weeks Ahead of DPD
  • Real-time signal ingestion from LMS, payment gateways, collections, and insurer APIs
  • Auto-create collection tasks, freeze exposure, and trigger field visits
  • Weighted scoring and ranked queues for prioritized triage
  • Configurable thresholds and overrides per product, branch, or dealer
Why this EWS

Focused on Lead Time and Operational Impact

An effective EWS must do three things: detect early, prioritize correctly, and force remedial action. This solution combines deterministic rules, behavioural models, and supervised ML with an auditable workflow layer so alerts become enforceable work items.

Prioritized triage, avoid alert fatigue

Risk signals are combined into weighted scores and ranked queues. Collections and recovery teams receive a short, prioritized worklist that shows predicted risk, key contributing signals, and recommended next action. Includes escalation to supervisors and audit-ready disposition recording.

Customizable to your credit policy

Thresholds, score weights, segment cut-offs, and overrides are configurable per product, branch, or dealer so the system follows your governance and tolerance levels.

Signals Library

Comprehensive Risk Signal Coverage

A complete library of signals spanning payment behaviour, collateral health, device intelligence, and partner risk patterns.

Payment Trends

Days-to-due trend, partial payments, bounce/NSF alerts, utilisation spikes, payment channel anomalies, missed reminders, complaints and churn indicators.

Collateral & Insurance

Policy expiry and coverage gaps, low valuation flags, repo and recovery history, and collateral location integrity checks.

Device, GPS & Location

Device fingerprint changes, SIM swaps, risky location scoring, geofence breaches, travel anomalies, and travel velocity checks.

Merchant / Dealer Risk

Partner score degradation, dispute and chargeback rates, abnormal sales velocity, and regional concentration risk.

ML & Score Inputs

Probability of Default (PD) models, behavioural decays, SHAP or feature contribution explanations, ensemble blending, and drift detection with retraining triggers.

Risk Scoring & Thresholds

Weighted composite scores, dynamic cut-offs by segment/product, severity bands, and manual override with audit trail.

Strategies & Playbooks

Promise-to-pay outreach, payment links and one-click settlements, restructure offers, prioritized field visits, legal/repo triggers, and conditional hold on new credit.

Alerting & Queues

Auto-assign to teams, SLA timers, escalation paths, blackout windows, and inbox/WA/dialer integration.

Case Management

Full case lifecycle: notes, attachments, dispositions, follow-ups, evidence capture, and immutable audit trail.

Dashboards

Risk heatmaps, lead time metrics, precision/recall, true positive ROI, action outcomes, and segmented trend views.

A/B Tests & Uplift Measurement

Champion/challenger strategy tests, control groups, uplift measurement, and statistical confidence reporting.

Integrations

LMS/collections, dialer/WhatsApp, payment gateway/virtual accounts, insurer and GPS providers, SSO and BI/data warehouse.

Standard Features

What the EWS Includes

A production-ready suite covering signal collection, scoring, operational workflows, monitoring, and governance.

Signal Collection & ETL

Connector library for streaming and batch sources, validation, enrichment, and unified customer-contract timeline. Integrates with LMS, payment gateways, collections, insurer APIs, GPS/device SDKs, and customer service systems.

Scoring Engine

Rule engine plus ML scoring with explainability, ensemble support, and segment-specific calibration.

Workflow & Automation

Task generation, collector assignment, SLA enforcement, and built-in playbooks mapped to severity bands. Supports auto-create collection tasks, freeze exposure, trigger field visits, escalate to supervisors, and record audit-ready dispositions.

Case & Evidence Capture

Structured case forms, document upload, visit logs with location/time stamps, and disposition templates.

Monitoring & Model Governance

Drift monitors, performance dashboards, retrain pipelines, and versioned models with approval workflows.

Reporting & Compliance

Standard reports for audit, regulator-ready exports, and customizable KPI exports for management.

Business outcomes

What This Delivers to Multifinance Operations

Reduce NPF by surfacing deterioration early, lower operating expense through automation, improve recovery rates with prioritized actions, and produce measurable ROI from true-positive interventions.

Measurable outcomes

  • Lead time improvement to DPD (30+ days typical)
  • Lower false positive rate via combined rule + ML approach
  • Faster resolution and higher collection hit rates
  • Clear audit trail and governance for regulator scrutiny

Operational impact

  • Automated task generation and prioritized worklists for collections teams
  • Reduced alert fatigue with weighted scoring and ranked queues
  • Field activity verification with GPS/time evidence
Technology & integration

Built API-First for Enterprise Scale

REST/JSON APIs and webhooks for real-time sync, secure file exchange for legacy systems, SSO and role-based access, and on-prem or cloud deployment models.

Integration options

  • REST/JSON APIs and webhooks for real-time sync
  • Secure file exchange (CSV/XML) for legacy systems
  • SSO, role-based access, and audit logging

Deployment flexibility

  • Data warehouse connectors and BI-ready exports
  • On-prem or cloud deployment models
  • Scalable architecture for enterprise workloads
Engagement model
What You Get

We configure a pilot to match your signals, thresholds, and playbooks so you validate impact before full rollout.

Before go live

  • Signals, thresholds, and playbooks configured to your policy
  • Pilot access for collections, credit, and management teams
  • Integration with LMS and payment gateway for end-to-end testing

After go live

  • Annual maintenance with included change requests
  • Governance pack, training, and operational runbooks
  • Optional deeper integration with core banking and GL posting

Ready to customize Rayterton Early Warning System

Share current red flags, existing playbooks, and top-priority segments. We will configure signals, thresholds, and auto-actions for a pilot so your collections and credit teams can act on risk weeks before it becomes DPD.

Request Free Customization
Rayterton can start the project without any upfront payment and without long term contracts. The focus is to make sure the solution fits and successfully goes live first.